Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000148 0.000163 0.000179 0.000198 0.000218 0.000241 0.000267
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000142 0.000167 0.000199 0.000238 0.000283 0.000342
2025-11-02 0.000101 0.000126 0.000156 0.000196 0.000249 0.000316 0.000408
2025-11-09 0.000089 0.000115 0.000149 0.000196 0.000261 0.000348 0.000475
2025-11-16 0.000078 0.000105 0.000141 0.000193 0.000267 0.000373 0.000535
2025-11-23 0.000070 0.000096 0.000133 0.000188 0.000270 0.000391 0.000587
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000092 0.000131 0.000191 0.000284 0.000427 0.000669
2025-12-07 0.000061 0.000089 0.000129 0.000194 0.000299 0.000466 0.000761
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000083 0.000124 0.000191 0.000302 0.000485 0.000822
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000077 0.000116 0.000183 0.000298 0.000492 0.000863
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000074 0.000114 0.000184 0.000307 0.000523 0.000950
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000186 0.000318 0.000558 0.001049
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000068 0.000109 0.000184 0.000324 0.000584 0.001139
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000065 0.000107 0.000186 0.000336 0.000624 0.001265
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000184 0.000340 0.000651 0.001367
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000059 0.000101 0.000183 0.000348 0.000685 0.001491
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000056 0.000098 0.000180 0.000350 0.000708 0.001594
2026-02-15 0.000031 0.000053 0.000094 0.000176 0.000349 0.000723 0.001679
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000178 0.000363 0.000773 0.001862
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000051 0.000093 0.000182 0.000378 0.000830 0.002074
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000090 0.000178 0.000378 0.000849 0.002188
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000046 0.000085 0.000172 0.000371 0.000849 0.002246
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000172 0.000380 0.000893 0.002442